Well let's make that 2025--I'll have more time.
Okay, it has been awhile... but, my resolution is to recommence this blog in 2024, to look back at some of the 10-year-old posts from this blog to see how they stood up against the test of time, and to look forwards, to see what might lay ahead. Cheers!
Lars Larsen mentioned using your data in his calcs in his book updated 2024.
ReplyDeleteLooking forward to what you have to say in 2025.
Oil will leave us not with a bang, but with a whimper.
Already cars are too expensive for people to buy, just as Berndt Warm predicted in his book in 2023: The Last Years of the Oil Age_Physics Kills Oil and Cars_BerndtWarm_the_end_of_oil_covered_230920
Hopefully the unresolvable economic downturn in China will extend the availability of diesel a little longer to provide food to the city-dwellers who can't grow their own.
Happy Christmas!! :)
“So the thesis of this book stands or falls with the correctness of the decline rate that Brown gives us. Therefore I have calculated with several different parameters as regards the decline rate, and all point in the same direction. The difference be tween them is a few years at most. Therefore I assume that my thesis is solid, which is that the end of global net oil exports in
2030-2032 (Brown’s scenario) is a best-case scenario.
Collapse can, I think, begin in earnest already in 2026, only be cause of too little diesel exports. Observe that oil exports vanish successively, more and more, not all at once.”?
https://un-denial.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/lars-larsen-the-end-of-global-net-oil-exports-13th-edition-2024.pdf
That book is so stupid it's funny if he's right the price of oil should be sky fucking high l
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