Tuesday, December 26, 2023

CHECKING IN

Well let's make that 2025--I'll have more time.

 

 Okay, it has been awhile... but, my resolution is to recommence this blog in 2024, to look back at some of the 10-year-old posts from this blog to see how they stood up against the test of time, and to look forwards, to see what might lay ahead. Cheers!


2 comments:

  1. Lars Larsen mentioned using your data in his calcs in his book updated 2024.
    Looking forward to what you have to say in 2025.
    Oil will leave us not with a bang, but with a whimper.
    Already cars are too expensive for people to buy, just as Berndt Warm predicted in his book in 2023: The Last Years of the Oil Age_Physics Kills Oil and Cars_BerndtWarm_the_end_of_oil_covered_230920
    Hopefully the unresolvable economic downturn in China will extend the availability of diesel a little longer to provide food to the city-dwellers who can't grow their own.
    Happy Christmas!! :)
    “So the thesis of this book stands or falls with the correctness of the decline rate that Brown gives us. Therefore I have calculated with several different parameters as regards the decline rate, and all point in the same direction. The difference be tween them is a few years at most. Therefore I assume that my thesis is solid, which is that the end of global net oil exports in
    2030-2032 (Brown’s scenario) is a best-case scenario.
    Collapse can, I think, begin in earnest already in 2026, only be cause of too little diesel exports. Observe that oil exports vanish successively, more and more, not all at once.”?

    https://un-denial.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/lars-larsen-the-end-of-global-net-oil-exports-13th-edition-2024.pdf

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That book is so stupid it's funny if he's right the price of oil should be sky fucking high l

      Delete

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